Sunday, November 27, 2016

Primary from the right : who will benefit from the increase of the participation ? – The Point

At mid-day, the attendance was significantly higher this Sunday, compared to that of the first round of the primary of the right and centre. Referring to the lift from 64 % of the polling vote, Thierry Solère, who presides over the high authority in charge of the organization of the election, believes that the participation has jumped from 10% to 15%. The voters-they ran on the offices this morning to avoid the long queues in the last week ? The trend will be confirmed to 17 hours, at the 2nd point on the entry.

If it is confirmed, it could have an impact on the outcome of the election. But this mobilization will benefit ? It could mean that voters of the left are moved, in the goal likely to avoid the assumption, difficult for them, to decide between Marine Le Pen and François Fillon in the second round of the presidential election next year. Many observers believed that the involvement could be down in the second round, many of the supporters of the left who voted in the first round to eliminate Nicolas Sarkozy. The rejection that they would inspire Francois Fillon will he be as strong ?

a Simple hypothesis. Because we cannot exclude the possibility that this increase reflects the continued momentum enjoyed by the former Prime minister last Sunday. With 44 % of the vote, which has long stagnated in the polls had outperformed the favorites.

READ also Primary from the right : “both are good, but he had to make a choice”

a definitive Answer this evening when the tabulation of the results, an election-night live live on The from 18 hours.


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