Tuesday, January 6, 2015

According to the theory of “domino”, that of “string” – Le Vif

According to the theory of "domino", that of "string" – Le Vif

When I say the Germans, I aimed in particular Angela Merkel during an interview with the German magazine Der Spiegel did not hesitate to say that she no longer feared that the eurozone implodes in case of abandonment of the euro by Greece. This is obviously an important information and quite new though Merkel refrained subsequently make other comments like that.

This is important, because remember in 2012 when we were at the peak of the crisis, Merkel had studied the possibility of a Greek exit from the euro zone, but had quickly changed her mind because she was afraid of a “domino effect”. In other words, the output of Greece provokes an attack of financial markets on other patients countries like Portugal or Spain. But now the domino theory is no longer in vogue in Germany, if only because that Portugal and Spain are better and are recovering to speak as a doctor.

Today, it is rather the theory of the chain that is popular; ie if the weakest element of the chain had to leave, the chain would now be stronger and the weak element of this system, it is of course Greece!

“Angela Merkel no longer fears that the eurozone implodes in case of abandonment of the euro by Greece.”

But the question is: is that Angela Merkel really think what it says, or is it a gamble, a bluff? One way to tell the future Greek government that will be released after the polls on January 25, “You’re not going to make me sing, you continue to be the cure of austerity, as I have imposed on you or you go but I not afraid of your departure. “

Others also think that this output Merkel in a German magazine is primarily intended to reassure German citizens who are tempted by Eurosceptic parties. A way of saying, “Yes, I am European, but not at any price.”

In fact, it makes fun of the world and European citizens in this case. Why? Because most of the Greek public debt is now in the balance sheet of the European Central Bank, so if tomorrow Greece leaving the euro zone is first and foremost the European Central Bank would have difficulty ! In the end it will be the European taxpayer who happen one way or another to the body … This is not said to German citizens or other matter, as usual.

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