The Department of Labor will release 18 hours the unemployment figures for the month of December. The increase in the number of job seekers should reach almost 200,000 in 2014, slightly more than in 2013.
After inversion of the curve of unemployment failed, successful acceleration! The Department of Labor will release tonight at 18 hours the number of registered unemployed at the end of December 2014 employment center and everything suggests that this result will not be good, as indeed accumulated for throughout the year. “I’m expecting a bad record,” even admitted François Rebsamen Sunday in the JDD.
How could it also be otherwise? In the first eleven months of the year, the number of unemployed grew by 181,000 in category A (no activity) and should reach almost 200,000, integrating data from December. In the end, unemployment will have fallen only once in 2014 (in October), and 11,100 only. We are far from the promise, repeatedly formulated in 2013 by François Hollande put away and forgotten for 2014, the inversion of the curve in the last 12 months.
Worse, it’s the same Conversely which eventually promised. The curve of unemployment not only did not reverse it-if indeed we can add these images to the evolution of the number of job seekers inscrits- but it accelerated. In other words, the number of unemployed increased again in 2014 (in the order of 200,000, if we believe the average monthly increase), but the increase was greater than in 2013, when employment center had recorded a positive balance of 174,800 more unemployed.
“The reversal of the unemployment curve for all age groups has not yet conducted in the last quarter, although we are very close “
François Rebsamen well be” more optimistic than at the beginning of last year “-and this, because of sites opened on long-term unemployed (9.4% year over year to November) or the entry into force on 1 January of responsibility- Pact, 2015 also promises to be a bad year for the fight against unemployment. UNEDIC, which is renowned for the reliability of its forecasts, provides that the number of unemployed still grow by 104,000 during the year, referring to 2016 at the earliest inversion of the curve. With, the key, a new absolute record metropolis unemployed: over 3.6 million jobseekers registered in category A to employment center. Never seen …
But there just one year, Michel Sapin -the predecessor François Rebsamen rue Grenelle was said too optimistic. “The reversal of the trend in unemployment for all age groups has not yet been achieved in the last quarter, even though we’re very close,” he had commented, just after the publication of figures December 2013. Before embarking, as usual, in a risky undertaking that did not finally realized: “In 2014, while pursuing a policy of extremely heavy usage, it is the entire economy need to move more strongly to support growth and permanently reverse the unemployment curve for job seekers of all ages, “insisted Michel Sapin. Will be measured tonight at 18 hours the extent of damage …
“I’m more optimistic at the beginning of last year,”
Michel Sapin had added a layer three months later, saying adamant that the reversal of the unemployment curve was indeed produced by the end of 2013, according to the ILO for which the unemployment rate decreased (0.1 points) in the last quarter of the year. He has since started to rise (+0.2 percentage points year over year to September 2014).
“Forecasts Unedic are less bad than before,” tried to turn Sunday (se) reassure the current Minister of Labour. Wrong! In three months apart, the prediction of unemployment insurance swelled 8,000 -l’Unedic unemployed indeed provided in late September that 96,000 more unemployed throughout the year 2015- c ‘ was even the third consecutive degradation of its projections. As for the accumulated deficit, it should reach almost 26 billion to the New Year’s Eve 2015. Again, a record! When it does not, it does not …
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