Illustration: working in offices.
Illustration: working in offices. – SOLAL / SIPA
Nicolas BEGASSE
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The Crystal Ball of employment in France. A document of over 400 pages, written by France Strategy and the Ministry of Labour Statistics Service (DARES) outline three scenarios for the period 2012-2022. The main scenario foresees the establishment of “an average of 177,000 jobs per year,” and unemployment to 8% in 2022. As pointed out by the Minister of Labour François Rebsamen at the presentation of the report, “Identification of trades tomorrow is a critical issue, “ 20 Minutes present you the job creation potential of each professional category.

Health care professions

At Except for doctors, “all the caring professions and assistance to vulnerable people should benefit from strong employment dynamics,” the report states. The better off will be home helps, care assistants and nurses. The reason? Aging population and support the families is less obvious than before. Childminders also will see their numbers grow, the care of young children is still unsatisfactory.



Highly skilled trades

We will need more executives and managers in the coming years, especially because of the many retirements looming. In engineering, information technology and research and development, it is different: we recruit young, suddenly the retirements are less, but the area of ​​research and new technologies will continue to create many jobs . Same in the field of information and communication (including in the world of arts and entertainment) who will benefit from “the rise of multimedia and audiovisual activities.”



Building, transport and logistics

The creation of jobs in the transport and logistics should be limited because of the rising price of energy. Happy exceptions: agents operating services, executives and flight of aviation. The building will in turn driven by the increase in the number of households and adaptation to environmental standards and the aging of the population -the positions architects, technicians and supervisors will be created.



Trade and services

The “new consumption patterns favoring the welfare and recreation” should compensate for the lack of retirement for sellers, hotel workers and restaurant, hairdressers, beauticians and cultural and sports leaders. Side trade, except cashiers, one should not be too bad draw, for example due to enlargement of the opening hours.



In industry

“The increasing sophistication of equipment” encourage technicians and supervisors, while auto repairers will come out of the game due to lower vehicle replacement. In return, the worker employment will continue to fall back, even if “given their high turnover, these trades should continue to offer job opportunities to young people in the process of professional integration”.



Public Function

In the public even more than in the private, creative perspectives positions in administration, secretarial or accounting management is weak. The number of military, police and firefighters will diminish, but recruitment will continue because of the short careers in this sector. The pace of job creation in teaching will also be low, although retirements “will generate a large volume of vacancies among teachers,” wrote Dares.



Employees house and maintainers

Few jobs will be created, but the high average current age of these professions will mechanically cause many vacancies by 2022.

Farmers

This is the job where jobs created prospects are weakest: farmers, ranchers and foresters will see many retirements, which will not all be replaced by up of young farmers or hiring new employees.