Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Unemployment: new record in December – Le Point

The number of job seekers without work increased by 15,800 persons (+ 0.4%) in December, concluding 2015 with a record of 3.59 million unemployed in mainland France, said Wednesday Ministry of Labour. Over the whole year 2015, employment center hosted 89,900 additional unemployed (2.6%), which was the lowest increase since 2010. Unemployment has also reached record including job seekers who have exercised an activity in the month (5.48 million, + 0.6% over one month) and overseas (5.78 million, + 0.6%).

According to Myriam El Khomri, Minister of Labour, these poor results reflected “including the effects of the decline in activity recorded by several sectors in the context that we have experienced in November and December.” In recent months, the employment center indicator has fluctuated significantly, but beyond monthly developments, deemed highly volatile, the unemployment curve indicates a real upward trend, with 42,800 more unemployed in category A ( without activity) in France in Q4. A recent analysis of Dares, service of Ministry statistics, Pôle emploi figures are indicative of a trend from a quarterly trend of 35,000.

Despite a glance Stop in December (+ 0.7%), the situation of young people is a clear improvement over the year: – 21,900 (- 4.0%) compared to end 2014. However, the situation is deteriorating inexorably seniors (+ 0.6% over the month, + 8.4% yoy). Another black spot: the long-term unemployment, which continues to gain ground. End of 2015, 2.47 million job seekers, small business included, were registered at employment center for over a year, a figure up 0.8% in December and 9.5% over the year . Result: the age of the enrolled increased by one month (31 days) in a year. An average job seeker pointing at employment center for about 19 months (570 days)

Training:.? How effective

The December figures are published while François Hollande announced a plan to try to finally reverse the unemployment curve. The Netherlands plan is the “last jerk” of the government to halt the rise in unemployment, according to the Finance Minister Michel Sapin. In the longer term, the executive also expects the reform of the Labour Code and the flexibilities of 35 hours to promote business competitiveness and hence employment. Monday, Manuel Valls has closed the door to the abandonment of the increase overtime claimed by its Economy Minister Emmanuel Macron, indicating that the legal working hours be included in the main principles of the future “preamble” of the Code work.

But how to ensure that growth benefits the least skilled unemployed, two million job seekers not having their tank, and 680,000 having a level below the CAP? It is the stated objective by the massive training plan announced January 18 by the head of state. Employment is “the only valid question beyond the safety of the French,” said Francois Hollande, who has repeatedly falling unemployment provided a new application. The state will release one billion euros to train 500 000 more unemployed in 2016, a doubling compared to 2015. Currently, France will form an unemployed person in ten against two in ten in Germany, three in ten Norway, four in ten in Austria.

If the formation of 500,000 unemployed was consensus on the substance, the implementation of the plan and its effectiveness are doubtful. Some suspect also the executive of a “statistical treatment of unemployment” to artificially lower the curve: the unemployed no activity tipping indeed Class D employment center when they come into training and leaving the Category A, B and C are the most discussed. The Netherlands map – two billion euros in total – also provides new support to the hiring of 2000 euros per year for companies with fewer than 250 employees, a measure that could create 50,000 jobs, according to the Minister of Labour .

The president also called on the social partners who must renegotiate the unemployment insurance convention in the coming weeks to “review a number of rules and redirect funding” to foster ” return to work, “without elaborating. He simply pointed out that in France, the duration of benefits for job seekers was “the longest in Europe.”

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