Paris (AFP) – No gifts on Christmas Eve to the French government: with 3.49 million job seekers registered no activity in late November by Pôle emploi in France, it is still worthwhile to reverse a curve rising almost continuously for three and a half years.
Last month, 27,400 additional job seekers (+ 0.8%) were on the lists of the public operator, announced Wednesday the Ministry of Labour. Over a year, rising 5.8%.
By including overseas, 3.75 million unemployed without any activity were registered, an increase of 0.7% in a month and 5.4% in a year. With those who had a small business, the number rises to 5.48 million (+ 0.4%) in metropolitan France and overseas territories.
All age groups are affected by the increase unemployment but seniors are most affected (+ 1% over the month, up 11.1% year on year). Among young people, unemployment also increased by 0.5% over one month but less strongly than at the end of October, which for Labour Minister François Rebsamen, derives from “the positive effect of the jobs of the future” .
The entries employment center as a result of fixed-term contracts purposes (CSD) are at a high level (24% of the employment center to input patterns), while “the numbers are low “regarding the times of employment (18.7% of employment center output patterns) noted Philippe Waechter, director of economic research Natixis AM told AFP saw a sign there” very disturbing “.
Side support for the unemployed, the Minister of Labour emphasizes the new sheet of employment center route designed in particular to strengthen the long-term unemployed (while 2.2 million applicants for employment – including those who had a small business – are registered for more than one year)
Mr.. Rebsamen also discusses the measures to be implemented in early 2015 to promote the maintenance or integration into employment as “445,000 assisted contracts” and “implementation of training personal account” and “dynamics of the Pact of responsibility and solidarity “
-. ‘Limit breaks’ –
These figures are not a surprise to the executive. Prime Minister Manuel Valls stressed on Tuesday he did not expect “good news”.
The National Institute of Statistics (INSEE) also found in its forecast published December 18 that unemployment in France is forecast to rise by mid-2015, reaching 10.2% of the workforce in France and 10.6% with the overseas territories.
The INSEE, however, provides a clearing under the combined effects, in 2015, the Pact of responsibility and solidarity and the tax credit for the competitiveness and employment (CICE), the impact is estimated at 80,000 jobs.
According to the institute, the CICE “would lead to extra 10,000 jobs per quarter.”
Meanwhile, “the first steps” of the Covenant, consisting of contribution holidays and tax cuts, effective from January 1, “would support the use of up to 10,000″ extra posts per quarter.
On Wednesday, Manuel Valls said he was “convinced” that the systems implemented “pay” while the Minister of Economy, Emmanuel Macron, promised “very concrete impacts from the beginning of the year.”
According to Bruno Ducoudré, economist at the OFCE, there will be “an increase in unemployment in 2015, which is still held back by subsidized jobs and decreases in the cost of labor policies” as the IECC. “This should help to limit the damage.”
Side unions, CGT and Force Ouvrière asking the government to change policy. “Do not believe in Santa Claus!” Thundered the CGT.
These figures are “dramatic for our country”, warns the MEDEF, and demonstrate “the urgency to reform,” according to its president Pierre Gattaz.
The Secretary General of the UMP, Laurent Wauquiez, for his part said in a tweet that “this five-year risk of Waterloo jobs”, while for the Front National 2014 “a black year in unemployment.”
Two and a half years in office, President Francois Hollande, who has linked his possible candidacy in 2017 in the state of unemployment, n ‘ had only three months of decline of this indicator.
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