A jump of 60% globally. Nuclear power capacity will largely increase from 392 gigawatts in 2013 to more than 620 GW in 2040, according to the central scenario of the 2014 report of the International Energy Agency.
“However, their share in total electricity production, which peaked there nearly two decades, does not increase (ra) as a percentage point to 12%,” he says .
Asia bridgehead
Not less than 45% of this growth will come from China, while India, South Korea and Russia together account for 30% of the increase and the US 16%.
The atomic output is expected to rebound in Japan (without reaching the levels before the Fukushima disaster), while it will decline to 10% in the European Union. In total, the number of countries operating reactors will increase from 31 to 36.
The uncertain cost of decommissioning
At the same time, some 200 of the 434 operational reactors at the end of 2013 will be shut down, mainly in Europe, the US, Russia and Japan.
“We estimate the cost of decommissioning nuclear power plants set to judgment during this period more than $ 100 billion, “the IEA said, however pointing” considerable “uncertainty about these costs due to the lack of feedback.
“Replace this production deficit will be a particularly acute challenge in Europe” , she said. The agency therefore calls on governments to clarify as soon as possible their strategy to extend the life of the facility.
Warning on global warming
The report IEA also pulls the alarm bell about global warming. According to experts, the temperature on Earth could rise by 3.6 degrees by the end of the century mainly because of the increase in global energy consumption, which will save 37% by 2040. A new alert at officers before the Paris Conference on Climate Change in 2015 (COP 21)
|. See also: 2015 Climate Conference in Paris evil funding
energy efficiency efforts are urgent emphasizes Fatih Birol, chief economist of the IEA and lead author of the report. Another key solution for limiting global warming: develop renewable energy and nuclear …. Almost half of the increase in electricity production expected by 2040 should be covered by green energy, says the IEA. Globally, the share of wind turbines and solar panels into electricity is expected to quadruple.
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