Friday, July 3, 2015

Greece. A crucial referendum uncertain outcome – Ouest-France

The question posed to the Greeks Sunday is as follows: “Should we accept the agreement plan submitted by the European Commission, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Fund International Monetary (IMF) at the Eurogroup on 25 June, which is composed of two parts: Reforms for the completion of the current program and beyond and Preliminary Analysis of debt sustainability? “

The voter will have the choice between two checkboxes: ” Do not allow / NO ” and “OK / YES” .

The government of Alexis Tsipras calls Vote “no” .

A Complex Issue

The question therefore concerns the cons-parts demanded by Greece’s creditors in exchange for an extension of financial support until November, for a total of 12 billion euros on the part of Europeans, plus a payment of 3.5 billion euros from the IMF.

Formally, these proposals unacceptable to Athens, were only valid as long as Greece enjoyed a international financial assistance program. Now this program ended on June 30



The challenges of the Sunday, July 5th referendum in Greece.
The challenges of the Sunday, July 5th referendum in Greece. | Graphic AFP

Furthermore, other texts have emerged since, adding to the confusion: a slightly modified version of the proposals circulated by creditors Brussels, a “against-offer” of the Greek government, or a new IMF report on Greece’s debt …

For the first time, the “yes” would surpass the “no”

Anyway, according to a survey released Friday by the newspaper Ethnos , the “yes” ski – and even pre-empt the “no” 44.8% against 43.4%

. This is the first time since the announcement of the referendum by the Prime Minister, Alexis Tsipras, on the night of Friday to Saturday.

Two previous polls predicted a victory for the “no” , but with a margin that had already eroded since Sunday night announcement of strict control of capital into the country, accompanied by a bank closure.

According to the poll released Friday, the undecided still represent a relatively high proportion: 11.8% of respondents about their voting intentions were not able to answer.

The Greeks see 61% against 30% in the current situation the danger of leaving the euro zone (9% undecided). When asked if a change not the position of creditors and if we succeed in the agreement desired by the country, 51% think that not against 30% who think so (19% undecided ).

The Greeks are shared

The Greeks always show a large majority wishing to remain in the euro (74 %) against only 15% wish to return to a national currency (11% undecided).

it is equivalent to a referendum or not creditors, as the government says, or to a yes or no to the euro, such as creditors support the to dramatize the debate? The Greeks are shared between the two proposals, each of which collect 43% of their opinion, 14% are undecided.

They are very divided as to whether the choice to have called a referendum is good or not: 44% think it is a good decision, and a 46% poor, 10% again not knowing what to say.

This survey of the institute Alco was performed on 30 June and 1 July on a sample of 1,000 people representative of the Greek population aged over 18 years.

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