The number of Class A unemployed increased by 12,800 in February. This is bad news for the Socialists to four days of the second round of the departmental elections. The Ministry advanced that the increase is slowing and expects a lasting reversal before the end of the year.
The little miracle expected did not come. After the surprise but encouraging decline in January (19,100), executive hoping to brandish a second consecutive month of decline in unemployment, never-seen since the beginning of the quinquennium. What embody the promise of Francois Hollande as “the recovery is” and restore some of the prestige Socialists in trouble before the second round of the departmental elections on Sunday. Alas, employment center announced Wednesday at 18 hours, an increase of 12,800 unemployed Class A (having not worked in months) (+ 0.4%), and even a jump of 30,400 by adding jobseekers who worked in part (B and C) (+ 0.6%).
Almost a year later to the day, the executive and sees the replay scenario between the two rounds of the municipal elections of 2014, already marked by the announcement of a rise in unemployment. With in passing a new bug anti-quack Matignon software when the Secretary of State for Trade and Handicrafts, Carole Delga, saw fit to announce in the morning on South Radio that future figures constitute an “new rather favorable” … It is unlikely that the 3,494,000 unemployed category A (5200000 all categories) that identify employment center now share this view.
Encouraging signs
Labour Minister, François Rebsamen, however, wants to see encouraging signs. Under the magnitude of the decline in January, “since 2008, this is the first time we saw a drop in enrollment in Class A in the first two months of the year” , he advanced entry in its press release. He also points out that unemployment among under 25 continued to decline slightly in February (1400 in category A or -0.3%) and returned in its level of early 2013 through the “success” jobs of the future. And certainly, the inversion of the curve is still not there, but the bleeding is under control, the ministry analysis, which highlights that over the last three months the average rise in unemployment (2,700 per month) is the lowest for years “The reforms undertaken by the government produce their first effects: responsibility and solidarity pact, career paths secure, simplified corporate life, support for job creation.” concludes François Rebsamen.
But in the matter, the indicators are contradictory. On the one hand, INSEE announced Wednesday always a moral rebound of the bosses and the professional federation of temporary (Prism’emploi) found a rebound of 3.7% of the activity in February. But on the other hand, the data released by the employment center show that only 82,600 registered came out of last month lists “repeatedly Job declared,” the lowest total ever recorded!
Maintain a high volume of subsidized contracts
Not enough to change the government’s plan: he bets on a rise in growth and hope switch in the second half at an annual rate of around 1.5%. Married to maintaining a high volume of subsidized contracts, that should be enough to trigger a reversal of the unemployment curve. On 18 March, on LCI Radio Classique, François Rebsamen took the “commitment” “stabilize or even reduce unemployment by the end of the year” . The ministry said that by then, “the reform process will be continued and amplified” . The social partners will gather Friday, April 3 at the Ministry of Labour for “take stock of the law for securing employment, and if necessary, set all measures to improve its effectiveness” . As announced by the end of February by Manuel Valls, an appointment is announced in June to promote job creation in small and micro businesses.
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