The British seem to be heading toward a holding in the European Union, acknowledged Thursday a tenor of the campaign for the Brexit when the counting of ballots began at the end of a crucial referendum for the future the United Kingdom and the European Union.
“It seems that keeping the EU has the advantage” in the referendum at very high risk, said Nigel Farage, leader of the Europhobic party Ukip, the news channel Sky News continuously. A final YouGov poll published at the close of polling stations gave the maintenance in the EU at 52% against 48% head. “The result is tight and it is too early to give a verdict. But this survey suggests that a victory of the “Remain” (stay) is the most likely outcome, “said Joe Twyman of YouGov.
The pound rose
another poll released Thursday open vote by Ipsos-Mori had partially reassured financial markets by giving the winning side of the “Remain” at 52% and the British pound rose to the highest in six months against the dollar. The pound rose above $ 1.50 after the vote. Another sign of investor confidence against a Brexit, the London Stock Exchange ended sharply higher, as other European stock exchanges. Bookmakers are betting all on a “Remain” whose chances were reassessed beyond 85% by paris several companies.
After a passionate campaign focused on immigration and the economy, voters thronged Thursday to cast their ballot. In London and the south-east, transport was severely disrupted because of bad weather and several polling stations, flooded, had to close temporarily in the day.
“A disaster”
in the polling stations, voters were divided. In Manchester, where the official result will be announced, David Wright, a lawyer, said that “the desire for stability, the economics will make the difference.” “It would be a disaster for the economy if we left”, alarmed Peter Davies, employed in the IT sector for 55 years, Havering in east London.
John Thompson, 57 , who works in real estate in London, leaned him towards an EU exit: “I am for freedom and independence and I do not think that Europe can we offer,” a- he told AFP. Europhile in Scotland, some stressed that Brexit could justify the organization of a new independence referendum after that of September 2014, as desired by the nationalist SNP party. “The EU does not work, but I do not want the British Parliament has full power,” stood out instead Connor McGarry, a sailor of 25 years.
British Prime Minister David Cameron, who has staked his credibility by campaigning for the maintenance in the EU, voted to London without making a declaration. He called a little later on Twitter, his countrymen to opt for the maintenance, in his pledge of a “better future”. The leader of the Labour opposition Jeremy Corbyn, pro-EU also asked about the chances of victory in his camp, chose humor: “You can always ask the bookies.” “If you want to recover your borders, your democracy and your country, so vote Leave” tweeted Nigel Farage in the evening to mobilize his troops. Analysts said the level of participation will have a decisive impact. The more it is, the more the “Remain” will take his chances
Pandora’s Box
The challenge is to size and all European leaders intervened to retain the British, aware that their departure would pose a threat of disintegration of the club of EU member countries.
French President Francois Hollande said he will “initiate a revival of European construction”, whatever the outcome of the referendum. He wanted to learn Friday morning “they remained in the European Union, because this is their place.” German Chancellor Angela Merkel had expressed the same wish the day before.
In addition to the immediate economic consequences for the country and beyond, a Brexit would be harmful in the longer term, warned the international financial institutions, IMF to the OECD. It would open a period of political turbulence, with probable departure of David Cameron, who has continued to advocate for the maintenance in the EU.
Side Brexit, former Mayor of London Boris Johnson is leading Eurosceptic Conservatives and predicts a brighter tomorrow to the British if they find their “independence”. Seeking to curb the divisions within his Conservative Party to the EU, Mr Cameron announced in January 2013 the holding of the referendum. But he opened the Pandora’s box and unleashed passions.
In this poisonous atmosphere, the murder of the pro-EU MP Jo Cox last week by a man claiming “freedom for the United Kingdom, “blew the country, without the impact of this tragedy on the vote can not be measured.
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